{"uid":"cap_zlFFzdZGmVdRq7j00k7Q4","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-cb778bed","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_iKnBAlLBHFDxz5U8KsI1F","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What is the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum ETF gets approved this quarter? I want to see the Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Election outcome odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for a Trump 2024 presidential win — show me the orderbook implied probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"Macro recession market sentiment","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket currently pricing in for a US recession happening in 2025? Give me the implied Yes probability and current volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from orderbooks, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related events.","failureModes":["Topic string too vague or unrecognized — returns empty or no matching market","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or error","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment required before data is returned","Market for the requested topic does not exist on Polymarket — no results returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want orderbook-derived implied probabilities and whale sentiment rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news APIs when you want market-priced probability signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:15.768Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}