{"uid":"cap_zfacib0-RmccP6iJtCTEU","slug":"polynews-news-390f1d7a","name":"polynews.news Price Movement Catalyst Analyzer","description":"Grok-powered price movement catalyst analysis with confidence scoring. Simplest usage: pass just { marketId } and we resolve the market, pull price history, and analyze its most significant recent move. Advanced callers may instead supply a full { move, marketQuestion, outcomeName } payload.","url":"https://polynews.news/api/v1/analyze-move","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method","bodyType","body"],"properties":{"body":{"properties":{}},"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["POST"],"type":"string"},"bodyType":{"enum":["json","form-data","text"],"type":"string"}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object","properties":{"data":{"type":"object","properties":{"summary":{"type":"string"},"catalysts":{"type":"array","items":{"type":"object","properties":{"newsUrl":{"type":"string"},"newsTitle":{"type":"string"},"reasoning":{"type":"string"},"likelihood":{"type":"number"}}}},"confidence":{"type":"number"}}}}}}}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"data":{"analysis":"The price moved from 67% to 72% within 18 minutes of the Reuters wire. Volume spiked 4.2x during the window, and the move correlated with 1,400+ mentions of Newsom on X within the same hour. No countervailing news flow.","catalyst":"Reuters report at 14:23 EST confirming a senior Newsom advisor will join the 2028 exploratory committee, triggering a sharp +5pt rally over the next 15 minutes","confidence":"high","relatedSources":7},"meta":{"tier":"premium","version":"v1","endpoint":"/api/v1/analyze-move","latencyMs":22100,"timestamp":"2026-05-12T04:30:00.000Z"}}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"settled","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_kg5Xj1isoGYcrKlF9QzFc","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Uses Grok AI to analyze the root cause of a specific price movement on a prediction market, returning catalyst identification with confidence scoring","exampleAgentPrompt":"Can you run a Grok-powered catalyst analysis on why the YES price for the 'Fed rate cut by June' Polymarket market jumped from 42% to 67% yesterday afternoon, and give me a confidence score on the explanation?","exampleUseCases":null,"resultDescription":"Returns a structured analysis identifying the most likely catalyst(s) behind the observed price movement, with a confidence score indicating how strongly the evidence supports each explanation, plus source citations from news and X posts","failureModes":["Invalid or unrecognized market identifier returns 400 error","Price movement timestamp outside available data range returns no results","Grok API downstream failure returns 503 or timeout","Insufficient recent news/X data for low-volume markets results in low-confidence or null analysis","Payment failure or insufficient USDC balance returns 402 error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need to understand *why* a specific price movement occurred on a prediction market — not just what happened, but the causal catalyst with a confidence score. Prefer over generic news search when you need AI-synthesized cause-and-effect reasoning with evidence scoring rather than raw articles.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-13T18:41:18.851Z","isFirstParty":false}