{"uid":"cap_zCx9ClMe1IWVhC0HCLZ0K","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e99f9fbf","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_oP9vW5F4xA054Y9goycNl","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of an Ethereum spot ETF being approved in the next 6 months — give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and volume?"},{"title":"Macro recession probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket prediction market data on a US recession in 2025 — I want the implied probability and any whale sentiment signal."},{"title":"AI regulation market odds","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds on major AI regulation passing in the US this year? I want to see the orderbook-implied Yes probability."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic string too vague to match a specific market — returns multiple ambiguous results or none","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or missing data","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — call blocked due to missing or failed x402 micropayment","Rate limiting or abuse detection causing transient failures"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks — especially for crypto, macro, geopolitical, or AI policy events. It is the right choice when you want market-implied probabilities rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts, and when you need live Yes/No odds with volume and whale activity as signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:31.190Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}