{"uid":"cap_zCeLtIY6mfxdBy5S8hEZu","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2f163851","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_QmbwRV5z-2uYb1uMKqoyh","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for a US recession happening this year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of Ethereum hitting $10,000 this year? I want the Yes/No implied probabilities and any whale activity."},{"title":"Macro Fed policy market check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds on the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — what's the current implied probability and trading volume?"},{"title":"Election outcome odds monitoring","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for the 2024 US presidential election? Give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and tell me if whales are leaning in any direction."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response with live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried prediction market topic or event","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword","Polymarket API or data feed temporarily unavailable, returning stale or empty data","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment header is missing or insufficient","Topic string too vague to resolve to a specific market, returning multiple ambiguous results","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion on the upstream Polymarket data feed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events directly from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. It is ideal when you want market-implied odds rather than model-generated forecasts, and especially useful when whale sentiment and orderbook depth are relevant signals. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified probability rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:17.915Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}