{"uid":"cap_z8mjBOhHNwhwBeMGrfxsN","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-3c1b5c2d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Dg1-byvXdohRB6DsoyoIM","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability right now for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of year — also show me the trading volume and whale sentiment on that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that Ethereum breaks $5,000 this quarter? Give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale activity on that market."},{"title":"Macro event probability lookup","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket implied probability for a US recession being declared in 2025 — I want to see the orderbook and volume too."},{"title":"AI policy event odds tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for prediction markets around the US government banning open-source AI models — what's the current Yes probability and market sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for relevant prediction markets matching the event keyword or question.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is experiencing downtime","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — may return mixed results","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or timeout if the underlying Polymarket orderbook API is slow"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by financial incentives. Best suited for agents doing real-time event monitoring, trading signal generation, or probability-weighted decision making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:41.413Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}