{"uid":"cap_z7SSYrxPR1K_RJNbZjT-Q","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_mVWitrhTIm9K8FW3nxIRm","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability right now for Bitcoin ETF approval? Include volume and whether whales are leaning Yes or No.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Ethereum ETF approval — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Macro recession sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a US recession happening this year? Give me the Yes odds, whale sentiment, and order book volume."},{"title":"AI regulatory event tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets on AI regulation or a US AI safety bill passing — I want the live implied probabilities and current market conviction."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching prediction market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — response may include multiple markets requiring disambiguation","Stale or delayed orderbook data if Polymarket API is experiencing latency","Payment failure via x402 protocol if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting if too many calls are made in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks, especially when you want implied probability percentages and whale sentiment rather than just news sentiment or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need market-backed probability data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:46.792Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}