{"uid":"cap_z1si6mIsjSHBjHBWgjJmo","slug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aa5312ef","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_8DdqDnTkplfX3T9qL8rkV","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Bitcoin ETF approval' right now, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability lookup","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that Ethereum hits $5,000 before the end of this year? I want the implied Yes probability and any whale sentiment data."},{"title":"Macro economic event odds check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket prediction market odds for a US recession happening in 2025 — show me the implied probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market query","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? Give me the Yes/No odds and market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return incorrect or mixed results","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or the market has resolved","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — request blocked","Network or upstream Polymarket API outage causing empty or error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market, especially when you want orderbook-based implied probabilities rather than analyst forecasts or news sentiment. Prefer this over generic news APIs when you need quantified market consensus and whale-activity signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:45.703Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d2722219"}