{"uid":"cap_z-ZTg1fvGGefgOuAPbyNy","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-91f17eb0","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_rwldlecZOUDNwXIlZFEWb","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for the Fed cutting interest rates in 2025 — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of year? I want the implied Yes probability and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Election outcome odds monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for the US presidential election — show me the current Yes/No implied probabilities and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation event sentiment","prompt":"What are the Polymarket odds right now on the EU AI Act enforcement kicking in this year? I want the orderbook-implied probability and current volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating large-position holder bias for or against the event occurring.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or ambiguous — returns no matching market or irrelevant results","Polymarket has no active market for the requested topic — empty or null result returned","Upstream Polymarket data feed latency or downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Payment not completed via x402 — returns HTTP 402 Payment Required before data is served","Rate limiting or quota exceeded for the $0.01/call pricing tier"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or social media analysis when you want financially-backed implied probabilities and orderbook depth. Best for agents monitoring event outcomes, building trading signals, or summarizing market consensus on upcoming events.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:47.653Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}