{"uid":"cap_yuCcBW2EJfC7fgJ3OjD28","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-41908f02","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_8mYBzwSpQ8JWbSIsbr1-U","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket live odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed rate cut in 2025 — including whale sentiment and trading volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on the 2024 US presidential election — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale accumulation signals you see."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval prediction markets","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket prediction market odds for a spot Bitcoin ETF approval this year, including the orderbook volume and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI regulation event sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year — I want the implied probabilities and how much volume is behind it."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals (buy/sell pressure) for matching macro, crypto, or AI prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return multiple results requiring disambiguation","Payment not completed via x402 — 402 Payment Required response blocks access","Malformed or empty topic string — validation error returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket prediction markets, especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, live orderbook volume, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news sentiment APIs when you need market-priced probability rather than editorial opinion, and over raw Polymarket API access when you want a pre-processed, agent-ready feed with whale signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:33:45.237Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}