{"uid":"cap_yrP7Nf3Y6EG-VLBASvFiV","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-19908a28","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_sOvlmYj8gA3JHzNn1zj3w","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability of Trump winning the 2024 presidential election — give me the Yes/No odds, volume, and any whale activity?"},{"title":"Crypto price target market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Ethereum will hit $10,000 this year, including the implied probability and current orderbook sentiment."},{"title":"Macro event prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability that the Fed will cut interest rates at its next meeting — I want the Yes/No odds and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — may return unexpected market","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded returning an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's live orderbook — especially when you want implied market odds rather than model-based forecasts. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified probability with volume and whale activity context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:37.624Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}