{"uid":"cap_ym1qtVbQ7GcL-B2CoZ9v5","slug":"x402-factory-prediction-market-probability-history-f142d508","name":"x402-factory Prediction Market Probability History","description":"Probability time series for a market with key-move detection — Hourly or daily blended probability series (per-venue series included where listed) with volume, plus key_moves: buckets where the blend moved at least 5 points. Useful for charting and for change-point context before paying for realtime reads.","url":"https://x402-factory.com/v1/history/:slug","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"pathParams":{"type":"object","required":["slug"],"properties":{"slug":{"type":"string","pattern":"^[a-z0-9]+(?:-[a-z0-9]+)*$"}}},"queryParams":{"type":"object","required":[],"properties":{"to":{"type":"string","format":"date","pattern":"^(?:(?:\\d\\d[2468][048]|\\d\\d[13579][26]|\\d\\d0[48]|[02468][048]00|[13579][26]00)-02-29|\\d{4}-(?:(?:0[13578]|1[02])-(?:0[1-9]|[12]\\d|3[01])|(?:0[469]|11)-(?:0[1-9]|[12]\\d|30)|(?:02)-(?:0[1-9]|1\\d|2[0-8])))$"},"from":{"type":"string","format":"date","pattern":"^(?:(?:\\d\\d[2468][048]|\\d\\d[13579][26]|\\d\\d0[48]|[02468][048]00|[13579][26]00)-02-29|\\d{4}-(?:(?:0[13578]|1[02])-(?:0[1-9]|[12]\\d|3[01])|(?:0[469]|11)-(?:0[1-9]|[12]\\d|30)|(?:02)-(?:0[1-9]|1\\d|2[0-8])))$"},"granularity":{"enum":["hour","day"],"type":"string","default":"day"}}}},"additionalProperties":false}}},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_qCmMubTI24U9BzMmnOBUs","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns hourly or daily blended probability time series for a prediction market, including per-venue breakdowns, volume data, and key_moves (buckets where probability shifted 5+ points).","exampleAgentPrompt":"Show me the daily probability history for the prediction market 'us-2024-election' from 2024-01-01 to 2024-11-05, and flag any buckets where the blended probability jumped or dropped by 5 or more points.","exampleUseCases":null,"resultDescription":"A time series of blended probability values (hourly or daily), optional per-venue series, volume at each timestamp, and a key_moves array listing time buckets where the blended probability changed by at least 5 percentage points — useful for charting and identifying inflection points.","failureModes":["Invalid or unknown slug returns 404 not found","Malformed date format in from/to returns 400 validation error","Date range too large may time out or return partial data","Payment failure (insufficient USDC balance) returns 402 Payment Required","Invalid granularity value returns 400 bad request"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need historical probability trend data for a prediction market, want to visualize how odds evolved over time, or need to identify significant change-points before querying more expensive real-time endpoints. Prefer over real-time endpoints when historical context or charting is the primary goal.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-14T19:04:35.506Z","isFirstParty":false}