{"uid":"cap_ycp7faSGXU1m3Z2CxLIrG","slug":"lonestaroracle-cyclepulse-us-inventory-production-cycle-signal-722eb669","name":"LoneStarOracle CyclePulse — US Inventory & Production Cycle Signal","description":"US inventory & production cycle signal (bullwhip gauge)","url":"https://cycle.lonestaroracle.xyz/cycle","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"name":"CyclePulse","tags":["macro","inventory","manufacturing","factory-orders","cycle","capex","supply-chain"],"type":"object","version":"1.0.0","category":"macro","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET","HEAD","DELETE"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","properties":{}}}},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"signal":"US factory cycle: Mid-cycle / inventory building. Inventory-to-sales 1.39 (+0.01 pts YoY), core capex orders +1.9% YoY, durable goods orders +2.1% YoY.","cycle_phase":"Mid-cycle / inventory building"}}}},"description":"US inventory & production cycle signal — the bullwhip gauge for the real economy. Returns the manufacturing-and-trade inventory-to-sales ratio and its month/year trend (total business plus retail, wholesale, and manufacturer breakdown), factory new orders for durable goods (total and ex-transportation) and core capital goods ex-aircraft (the cleanest business-investment leading indicator), the order backlog, and a plain-English cycle phase (expansion/restocking, mid-cycle, destocking/contraction risk, or bottoming). Use it to time the manufacturing cycle, anticipate industrial demand and commodity pull-through, and read restocking vs destocking — a companion to supply-chain-stress and macro data. Pay-per-call $0.05 in USDC on Base via x402. Data = US Census MTIS + Advance M3, US government public domain."},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_MV1i-sXZCqpz5zjVar5E9","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns the current US manufacturing-and-trade inventory cycle phase (expansion, mid-cycle, destocking, bottoming) along with inventory-to-sales ratios, durable goods orders, and core capex data","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the current US manufacturing inventory cycle phase — are we in restocking or destocking — and what do the latest inventory-to-sales ratio and core capex orders say about where we are in the business cycle?","exampleUseCases":null,"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object with a plain-English cycle phase label (e.g. 'Mid-cycle / inventory building'), the manufacturing-and-trade inventory-to-sales ratio and its YoY trend broken down by total business, retail, wholesale, and manufacturer, factory new orders for durable goods (total and ex-transportation), core capital goods orders ex-aircraft, order backlog figures, and a narrative signal string summarizing the macro picture.","failureModes":["Upstream Census data not yet released for latest month — may return prior period data without warning","Payment of $0.05 USDC on Base not received or x402 protocol failure — returns 402 Payment Required","Service unavailable or cold-start latency — returns 5xx error","Network timeout if Base blockchain confirmation is slow"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a single authoritative signal on where the US manufacturing and inventory cycle stands — particularly for timing industrial demand, commodity pull-through, or supply-chain positioning. Prefer this over generic macro APIs when you specifically need inventory-to-sales breakdowns and core capex as a leading indicator of business investment. It consolidates Census MTIS and Advance M3 data into a single cycle-phase label, saving multi-source aggregation work.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-15T12:39:19.645Z","isFirstParty":false}