{"uid":"cap_yAK7qIkhChCgUtUkL83Co","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-382b59c6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_r_ogbQbBEBz85-eCfYsDz","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September 2025?' — include volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Pre-trade macro event probability check","prompt":"Before my options trade, can you pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut rates at their next FOMC meeting? I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment signal."},{"title":"Election outcome prediction tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability that a Republican wins the 2026 midterms? Give me the live orderbook odds and volume."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone probability lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the market-implied probability that Bitcoin hits $150,000 before end of 2025 — I want the Yes/No odds and current trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or connectivity error","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or mismatched results","Stale data if upstream Polymarket stream is delayed — probabilities may lag real-time by seconds to minutes"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live, real-time crowd-wisdom probability estimates from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want implied Yes/No odds backed by real money rather than sentiment surveys or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want a quantified probability with volume and whale-flow context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:24.755Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}