{"uid":"cap_xYvCn8L0OcRzTaU0HACq-","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e3a474d8","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_qjJa8ylM7WTM_9ulkyQ7Y","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI-related events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities on whether the Fed will cut rates before June? Also show me trading volume and what big traders are betting.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds for the next US presidential election — give me the implied probabilities for each candidate and how much volume is on the market right now?"},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a spot Ethereum ETF getting approved this year? I want the Yes/No implied odds and any whale sentiment data."},{"title":"Macro recession probability tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on US recession probability in 2025 — what are the current implied odds and what's the trading volume look like?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities for the queried event, current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals. The response reflects real-time market consensus on the likelihood of the specified event occurring.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the queried topic — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return the most relevant or a list","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or missing data","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response with no data returned","Very new or low-liquidity markets may have unreliable implied probability data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money at stake on Polymarket. It is ideal over general news or sentiment APIs when you want financially-incentivized market consensus rather than editorial opinion or social media chatter. Best for crypto-native or prediction-market-aware agents that need calibrated probability signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:37:09.976Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}