{"uid":"cap_xIk10PnXOB69PPEWH7WUw","slug":"agents-machina-gg-match-forecast-probabilities-dixon-coles-world-cup-0bf05e7a","name":"Match Forecast Probabilities – Dixon-Coles (World Cup 2026)","description":"Dixon-Coles match probabilities with model-vs-market differences and de-vigged probabilities. Informational research output with no selection, ranking, or recommendation of wagers.","url":"https://agents.machina.gg/world-cup/v1/get-match-forecast","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method","bodyType","body"],"properties":{"body":{"properties":{}},"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["POST","PUT","PATCH"],"type":"string"},"bodyType":{"enum":["json","form-data","text"],"type":"string"}},"additionalProperties":false}}},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.12","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":1,"rating":{"score":"1.00","successRate":"1.00","reviews":1,"stars":"5.0","state":"rated"},"availabilityStatus":"healthy","priceObserved":{"p10Cents":"12.0000","medianCents":"12.0000","p90Cents":"12.0000","minCents":"12.0000","maxCents":"12.0000","p95Cents":"12.0000","sampleCount":2,"varies":false,"failureChargeRate":null},"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.12/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.12","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.12","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.12","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_toaCBQk9aOOpfAQFrh1Sp","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.12","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x20C000000000000000000000b9537d11c60E8b50","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null},{"uid":"pm_6S6GUR9S7_aioLP7Emoj_","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.12","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agents.machina.gg","brandSlug":"agents-machina-gg-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agents.machina.gg","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns Dixon-Coles statistical match outcome probabilities for World Cup fixtures, including model-vs-market differences and de-vigged market probabilities for informational research.","exampleAgentPrompt":"Can you pull the Dixon-Coles forecast probabilities for the England vs France World Cup 2026 match, including how the model probabilities compare to the market odds?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Pre-match model vs market research","prompt":"Get me the Dixon-Coles forecast probabilities for the Brazil vs Argentina World Cup match and show me where the model disagrees most with the market odds."},{"title":"Draw probability deep dive","prompt":"What's the statistical probability of a draw in the Germany vs Spain World Cup 2026 group stage game according to the Dixon-Coles model?"},{"title":"De-vigged market odds comparison","prompt":"Pull the de-vigged market probabilities alongside the Dixon-Coles model outputs for the USA vs Mexico World Cup 2026 fixture so I can compare them side by side."}],"resultDescription":"A JSON object containing Dixon-Coles computed probabilities for each match outcome (home win, draw, away win), corresponding de-vigged market probabilities, and the numerical difference between model and market for each outcome, all grounded in Machina Sports's forecasting engine with no betting selection or recommendation.","failureModes":["Match identifier not found or not yet scheduled returns a 404 or empty result","Match not yet in the system (pre-tournament fixtures not yet loaded)","Malformed POST body returns a 400 validation error","Market odds not yet available for the fixture returns partial results without model-vs-market difference","Payment failure or insufficient balance returns a 402 error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need rigorous statistical match outcome probabilities for a specific World Cup 2026 fixture using the Dixon-Coles methodology, especially when you want to compare model-derived probabilities against de-vigged market odds. Prefer this over generic sports data APIs when the user specifically needs a quantitative, model-based forecast grounded in historical backtests and transparent sourcing. This is purely informational and research-oriented — it does not make betting recommendations.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":2,"lastUsedAt":"2026-09-03T19:35:28.700Z","lastSuccessfullyRanAt":"2026-09-03T19:35:28.700Z","lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-14T08:20:26.354Z","isFirstParty":false}