{"uid":"cap_x5SAgZpwZcwYKi7Ehsy8w","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-948e7974","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm__faHnn2DRO8maYKZC_DnZ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on the Fed cutting rates in September — give me the implied Yes and No probabilities and any whale sentiment you can see?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction odds check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of this year — I want to see current Yes/No percentages and trading volume."},{"title":"Election outcome probability monitor","prompt":"What are traders currently betting on Polymarket for the US presidential election outcome? Give me the implied probabilities and any large whale positions you can find."},{"title":"AI policy event market odds","prompt":"Check the Polymarket prediction market for the EU AI Act enforcement deadline — what's the current implied probability it gets delayed, and how much volume is on that market?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook snapshot for the queried topic including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic query too ambiguous to resolve to a specific market — may return multiple or incorrect markets","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook is temporarily unavailable or rate-limited upstream","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Network timeout if the live orderbook fetch exceeds response threshold"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market, particularly for macro events, crypto price milestones, political outcomes, or AI policy questions. Prefer this over traditional news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money at stake rather than survey-based or social sentiment data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:43.236Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}