{"uid":"cap_x42fmE5tTpHi5iAKCnwmg","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3140bf96","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Ty02VCCCUD3VtgNQPzQzB","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision odds tracking","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the implied Yes and No probabilities and recent trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto event probability lookup","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket probability that Bitcoin ETF inflows will exceed $1 billion this month? Give me the Yes/No odds and whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market check","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on US AI regulation passing in 2025 and tell me what the current implied probability is."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — may return stale or error response","Overly broad or ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — results may aggregate or return the most liquid match","Payment of $0.01 USDC via x402 fails or is not supported by the calling client — request rejected before data is returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events as priced by actual Polymarket traders with skin in the game. It is preferable to news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money, and ideal for agents that need up-to-the-minute odds without scraping Polymarket directly.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:44.022Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}