{"uid":"cap_x2WbIM-xeFJseox1vNPtx","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-0ad1be64","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_PNSwOJhKmvC52eJh-tKAV","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed rate cut this year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will hit $150k before the end of the year — I want the implied Yes probability and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro policy market odds","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a US recession in 2025? Give me the implied probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market for AI regulation or the EU AI Act passing this year — I need the Yes/No implied odds and any whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h trading volume, whale buy/sell sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for matched prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the topic — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match results","Payment failure via x402 before data is returned","Stale orderbook data if Polymarket feeds are delayed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want market-implied probabilities rather than qualitative opinion, and over static data sources when you need live orderbook and whale activity signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:50:54.897Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}