{"uid":"cap_wqAUWjvf0OKteZbISNaD0","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5e2146b1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_ADbtxM0GFAhPp9ukQVhNF","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Bitcoin ETF approval by end of year' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the Fed cuts interest rates in September? Show me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto market prediction lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Ethereum hits $5,000 this year — I want to see the orderbook sentiment and what the whales are betting on."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market monitor","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a US AI regulation bill passing in 2025? Give me the implied probabilities and any notable volume spikes."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic query is too vague and matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or ambiguous data","Polymarket API upstream downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Rate limiting or payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not properly handled","Very niche or recently created markets may have low liquidity or incomplete orderbook data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you want a quantified, market-implied probability (Yes/No odds) backed by actual capital at risk. Ideal for agents that need to gauge market consensus on binary outcomes or compare whale vs. retail positioning.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:18.745Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}