{"uid":"cap_wIhPJin7vfmQwKEXizvaY","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_uIBemvTvLd2TeuB_R6CkN","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability right now for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by end of 2025 — and what's the current trading volume and whale sentiment on that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the implied probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at least twice in 2025? Include volume and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Crypto milestone odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Ethereum hitting $10,000 this year — I want the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is on that market right now."},{"title":"AI policy event monitoring","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that a major US AI regulation bill passes in 2025? Show me the implied probability and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns structured Polymarket data for the queried topic, including live orderbook snapshot, implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — empty or null result returned","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return an aggregated or best-match result with possible mismatch","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not correctly handled","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API latency spikes","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning 429 or error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events as priced by actual prediction market participants on Polymarket, especially when you want orderbook depth, whale sentiment, and volume alongside implied probabilities. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you need a market-clearing probability that reflects financial skin-in-the-game.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:05.353Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}