{"uid":"cap_w9UPNqbd3q3or9WEAKS1X","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a505d3b1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Z-Jeeq7fyhW-fJW93HQ1U","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for the US entering a recession in 2025 — include the Yes/No probabilities, volume, and any whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the odds of the Republican candidate winning the 2026 midterms? Give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event tracking","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on the SEC approving a spot Ethereum ETF — what are whales betting and what's the current implied probability?"},{"title":"AI milestone crowd forecast","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that GPT-5 or a comparable AI model will be released before the end of 2025? Include volume and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return the most popular or first match without disambiguation","Polymarket API downstream outage — endpoint may return stale or error response","Very niche or recently created markets may have low liquidity and unreliable implied probabilities","Payment failure via x402 — call returns HTTP 402 if USDC payment is not properly attached"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-implied probabilities from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events — especially when you want actual market-derived probability estimates rather than model forecasts or news sentiment. Prefer this over general news APIs when you need quantified crowd conviction (Yes/No probability percentages) and volume-weighted whale activity signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:16.970Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}