{"uid":"cap_w89V-EnXGUwkp9wHl4wm7","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7e2d60a5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_E1LkOonYNVGkctMfelC6C","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September 2025?' — I want to see current orderbook sentiment and whale positioning.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Real-time election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that the Republican candidate wins the 2026 midterms? Give me the implied Yes/No probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto price event bet tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now — what's the implied probability that Bitcoin surpasses $150,000 before the end of 2025? Show me volume and orderbook data too."},{"title":"AI policy market sentiment monitor","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for 'Will the EU AI Act enforcement begin in 2025?' — I need the live Yes/No odds and any recent whale accumulation signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24-hour trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and market metadata for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic is too vague and matches multiple markets — may return ambiguous or blended data","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or error","Payment not processed (x402 HTTP 402 response) — call fails if micropayment not authorized","Rate limit or quota exceeded — endpoint returns 429 or similar error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders — especially when you want orderbook depth, whale sentiment, and volume alongside implied probabilities. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you specifically need market-implied probabilities rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:46:07.856Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}