{"uid":"cap_w7ib7EdPJoGW2pBYspuYH","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-484b0c94","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lbtUu6httwm-VTeCw5Z15","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket prediction markets for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of year — include volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Live crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Ethereum spot ETF approval — I want to see the Yes/No percentages and current trading volume."},{"title":"Macro event prediction market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US Federal Reserve rate cut before December 2025? Give me the implied odds and whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation market monitoring","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market for AI regulation passing in 2025 — what are the current Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is behind it?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including implied Yes and No probabilities, orderbook snapshot, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried event or market topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — may return unexpected market","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's liquid prediction markets. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and volume. Ideal for agents monitoring event risk, informing trading decisions, or tracking consensus probability shifts over time.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:34:41.245Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}