{"uid":"cap_uvEbYC0X6FoPFGlnXACjf","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-2ea4660d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_IOJc-giNh072xR3XSrZ01","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the Fed cutting interest rates in 2025, including whale sentiment and recent volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election odds monitoring for a trader","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see the implied Yes/No probabilities and whether whales are leaning one way."},{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin hits $150k before the end of 2025? Include volume and orderbook sentiment."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest odds on whether the US Congress will pass an AI regulation bill this year — I want the Yes probability and whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24-hour trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for macro, crypto, or AI events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic yields multiple markets with no clear match","Polymarket API downstream outage causes stale or missing data","Very niche or obscure topics may have low-liquidity markets with unreliable probabilities","Rate limiting or payment failure (HTTP 402) if micropayment not processed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money wagered on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want market-implied probabilities backed by financial stakes and orderbook depth rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:36.339Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}