{"uid":"cap_ukc4OB7ShsLgVjn1etgX4","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-ce41e659","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_WwjSJ6RblBDrxuzNJcnur","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI event markets.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket Yes/No implied probabilities and whale sentiment for an Ethereum spot ETF approval — I want to see the latest orderbook odds."},{"title":"Macro recession risk assessment","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket prediction market odds on a US recession happening in 2025? Give me the implied probability and any volume signals."},{"title":"AI policy market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year — I want the Yes/No odds and current trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24-hour trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for relevant prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API upstream downtime causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — may return unexpected market data","Payment failure via x402 protocol if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or timeout if the orderbook query takes too long"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by active Polymarket traders. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real financial stakes. Best for agents that need live odds, volume signals, or whale activity on specific forward-looking questions rather than historical data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:35:00.417Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}