{"uid":"cap_uNNHy3XAu3G5wcauQ1wzj","slug":"x402-coinopai-com-d71f7704","name":"Kronos Trade Decision Engine","description":"Kronos by ForgeMesh auditable crypto market-intelligence journal combining directional bias, anomaly review, calibrated confidence, and verification in one record with a decision_id. Pair with Kronos Audit to measure the later outcome. Market intelligence only.","url":"https://x402.coinopai.com/api/kronos/decision","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","properties":{"symbol":{"type":"string"}}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object","properties":{"symbol":{"type":"string"},"verified":{"type":"boolean"},"next_step":{"type":"object"},"confidence":{"type":"number"},"decision_id":{"type":"string"},"why_not_high":{"type":"array"},"anomaly_level":{"type":"string"},"anomaly_score":{"type":"number"},"legacy_fields":{"type":"object"},"agreement_score":{"type":"number"},"risk_disclosure":{"type":"object"},"directional_bias":{"type":"string"},"anomaly_review_label":{"type":"string"},"calibrated_confidence":{"type":"number"},"market_intelligence_only":{"type":"boolean"}}}}}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"symbol":"BTC/USD","verified":true,"next_step":{"cost":"$0.07","review_step":"Call /kronos/audit after 1h to verify"},"confidence":0.514,"decision_id":"uuid","why_not_high":["Directional confidence is intentionally capped by observed historical accuracy, not boosted by signal magnitude."],"anomaly_level":"normal","anomaly_score":14,"agreement_score":93,"risk_disclosure":{"no_trade_instruction":true,"not_financial_advice":true,"market_intelligence_only":true},"directional_bias":"upward","anomaly_review_label":"ignore","calibrated_confidence":51,"market_intelligence_only":true}},"example":{"request":{"input":{"type":"http","method":"GET","queryParams":{"symbol":"BTC"}}},"response":{"note":"Directional calls have NO demonstrated edge (≈51% accurate, n=1030; confidence reflects this, not signal magnitude). The validated product is calibrated_range_80 — a conformal 80% price interval (~0.80 empirical coverage). Use the range; verify any directional call via /audit.","regime":"chop","symbol":"BTC/USD","certainty":"PROBABILISTIC","next_step":{"cost":"$0.07 USDC","action":"Call /kronos/audit with this decision_id after your evaluation window to verify the outcome against real prices","endpoint":"/api/kronos/audit?decision_id=85074c49-4252-4ed5-8a0d-eae6f5dd30ce&window=1h","expected_outcomes":["GOOD_DECISION","BAD_DIRECTION","NOISE","NO_ACTION_TAKEN"]},"signal_ts":"2026-06-18T04:01:15.320768+00:00","backtest_n":1030,"confidence":0.51,"raw_signal":0.00534,"risk_level":"NORMAL","decision_id":"85074c49-4252-4ed5-8a0d-eae6f5dd30ce","data_quality":{"data_source":"kraken_1h","last_bar_ts":"2026-06-18T04:00:00+00:00","bars_available":168,"data_freshness_minutes":0.5},"score_details":{"price":64226.1,"macro_mod":1,"conviction":53.5,"inst_score":0,"kronos_pct":0.534,"tech_score":-0.253,"thresholds":{"min_conviction_to_enter":60,"strong_signal_abs_score":0.01,"min_abs_kronos_pct_to_act":0.5,"moderate_signal_abs_score":0.005},"decision_basis":"Kronos +0.534% | conviction 53.5 | technical -0.253 | institutional 0.000 | macro 1.00. Weights: Kronos 40%, institutional 30%, technical 20%, macro 10%.","interpretation":"weak_or_mixed_signal","component_weights":{"macro":0.1,"kronos":0.4,"technical":0.2,"institutional":0.3},"component_contributions":{"macro":0.1,"kronos":0.0214,"technical":-0.0506,"institutional":0}},"data_freshness":"RECENT","risk_disclosure":{"market_risk":"Crypto markets are volatile and can result in total loss","intended_use":"Experimental agent workflows only","model_uncertainty":"Signals are probabilistic and may be incorrect","not_financial_advice":true},"signal_strength":0.445,"directional_edge":"none_demonstrated","signal_age_hours":0.99,"suggested_action":"CONSIDER_LONG","action_thresholds":{"stale_signal_age_hours":2,"consider_long_raw_signal_gt":0.005,"consider_short_raw_signal_lt":-0.005},"available_symbols":["BTC/USD","ETH/USD","SOL/USD","XRP/USD","ADA/USD","DOT/USD","LINK/USD","AVAX/USD","DOGE/USD","ATOM/USD","LTC/USD","BCH/USD","UNI/USD","AAVE/USD","ARB/USD","ALGO/USD","STX/USD","AAPL","MSFT","NVDA","TSLA","AMZN","META","GOOGL","AMD","JPM","XOM","SPY","QQQ","GLD","TLT","SLV","GDX","AXP","OXY","CVX","KHC","LLY","AVGO"],"position_guidance":{"note":"Size conservatively — probabilistic model uncertainty applies","max_allocation":0.05,"max_risk_per_trade":0.01},"calibrated_range_80":{"low":62642,"high":65282,"method":"conformal","k_return":0.0207,"coverage_target":0.8},"decision_explanation":"BTC/USD: raw signal 0.534%, conviction 53.5, freshness RECENT, risk NORMAL. Latest bar 2026-06-18T04:00:00+00:00 from kraken_1h. Action is CONSIDER_LONG because the raw signal cleared the +0.5% action threshold. Use score_details and risk gates before sizing.","empirical_dir_accuracy":0.51}},"exampleRequest":{"symbol":"BTC"},"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.15","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"settled","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.15/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.15","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.15","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_-DIOK8t4FKb7nl_nLW9qO","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.15","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns a probabilistic trade decision (CONSIDER_LONG/SHORT/NO_ACTION) with confidence score, market regime, and a decision_id for later audit verification","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the Kronos trade decision for BTC right now — should I go long, short, or hold, and how confident is the signal?","exampleUseCases":null,"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object with suggested_action (CONSIDER_LONG, CONSIDER_SHORT, or NO_ACTION), a numeric confidence score (0-1), the current market regime, a decision_id string for auditing the outcome later, and a next_step object indicating recommended follow-up actions in the preflight→decision→audit loop.","failureModes":["Missing or invalid symbol parameter returns an error or default response","Symbol not supported by Kronos returns empty or error result","Payment not completed (402) blocks the response","Market data unavailable causes degraded confidence or NO_ACTION fallback","Rate limiting or cooldown state from risk engine returns restricted response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a single, auditable, probabilistic trade direction signal for a specific crypto asset with a confidence score and the ability to verify the outcome later via the /kronos/audit endpoint. Prefer this over generic price feeds when you need a decision (not just data) and when accountability/auditability of the signal is important. Best used as the second step in the full preflight→decision→audit loop.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-14T18:45:30.403Z","isFirstParty":false}