{"uid":"cap_uLzTJUxs4s70QpvXhO5Ps","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8fada66a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_UR7ZPtEI6Ma7LwmEgMAD1","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on the Fed cutting interest rates in 2025 — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment you can find?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto regulatory event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the SEC approves a spot Ethereum ETF this year? I want the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Election outcome prediction market lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on the 2026 US midterm elections flipping the Senate — what's the Yes probability and what are whales betting on?"},{"title":"Macro event risk assessment for portfolio","prompt":"I'm positioning my portfolio around a potential US recession — what are the current Polymarket prediction market odds on a recession happening in 2025, including volume and implied probability?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities as percentages, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader activity.","failureModes":["Topic query matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty result or null probabilities","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or mismatched data","Payment failure via x402 — returns HTTP 402 if USDC micropayment is not provided","Polymarket API upstream outage — returns error or stale data","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity and unreliable implied probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts. Ideal for agents that need quantitative implied-probability signals for macro, crypto, or political events, especially when whale and orderbook-level intelligence is needed alongside top-level odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:39:33.821Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}