{"uid":"cap_tupbU_U0dGmMKcI1mO1Ui","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e33a6438","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_urGRxA1o3VdGnCvjOISsc","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events given a topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025' — I want to see current orderbook volume and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin hits $150k before the end of 2025? Show me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale positioning."},{"title":"Election outcome odds lookup","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want the current Yes/No probabilities and total volume traded."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? Give me the implied odds and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried topic or event question. May include the specific market matched, current bid/ask spreads, and market activity indicators.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Topic keyword too vague to resolve to a specific market — multiple markets returned or ambiguous match","Polymarket API upstream unavailable — gateway or timeout error","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — call not executed without valid x402 micropayment","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or market has resolved"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. It is ideal when you want market-implied odds rather than model-generated forecasts, or when you want to gauge whale sentiment and trading volume around a specific event. Prefer this over news search when you need a single numerical probability estimate backed by real financial stakes.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:29.862Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}