{"uid":"cap_tbSxAyg6jeWwF6eYG3dF9","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-60c0baa6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_HRF6OESQPuEz3yjkcrTVL","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on whether the Fed will cut interest rates before the end of 2025 — including the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket prediction market odds for Bitcoin reaching $150k this year — I want the implied Yes and No probabilities plus the trading volume."},{"title":"Election outcome market monitoring","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds on the 2025 US midterms or any major upcoming election? Show me the implied probabilities and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"AI milestone market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the probability that GPT-5 or a frontier AI model gets released before the end of this year — I want the full odds and sentiment breakdown."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, 24h trading volume, whale buy/sell sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream timeout or partial data","Misspelled or ambiguous topic returns wrong market odds","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity and unreliable implied probabilities","Payment failure via x402 — call not executed if USDC balance insufficient"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events from Polymarket's live orderbooks — particularly when you want implied probabilities derived from actual financial stakes rather than polling or sentiment analysis. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified market consensus (e.g. 73% Yes) with volume and whale activity context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:32:24.744Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}