{"uid":"cap_tQjbQlEAUy7-DWREyumA0","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-267bd2d5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_U0tl9HfiedHRl6A2F39LD","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k this year — including volume and whether whales are leaning Yes or No?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Ethereum will flip Bitcoin in market cap this year — I want the implied Yes probability, current volume, and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro event probability lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at least twice before year end? Give me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"AI event market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around GPT-5 or a major AI model release happening this quarter and tell me the current implied probabilities and who the whales are betting on."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for matching prediction market events or questions related to the queried topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily delayed or rate-limited","Ambiguous topic resolves to multiple markets — may return the highest-volume match or a list","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC balance is insufficient","Malformed or empty topic string returns a validation error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro events, crypto milestones, AI developments, or geopolitical outcomes — especially when you want implied probability, volume, and whale positioning rather than just news or analyst opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:34:11.948Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}