{"uid":"cap_tQZa_n9hMC2U19bFbIHhx","slug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ed5e111","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_eyoRuHUD5oWqiN0ekT6BX","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probability that the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting? Look up the live orderbook and whale sentiment for the FOMC rate decision topic.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Fed rate cut probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? Pull the live Yes/No odds and tell me what the whale sentiment looks like."},{"title":"Crypto event market odds","prompt":"Look up the live Polymarket prediction market odds for a Bitcoin ETF approval — what's the current Yes probability, trading volume, and how are the big players positioned?"},{"title":"AI regulation event odds","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds on an AI regulation bill passing in the US this year? Give me the implied probability, volume, and whale sentiment for that topic."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or incorrect market","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causes upstream failure","Payment not processed correctly via x402 — request rejected with 402 status","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket orderbook feed is lagging"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market — especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, trading volume, and whale positioning rather than news or analyst opinions. Prefer this over news APIs or sentiment tools when you want financially-incentivized market-implied probabilities.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:13.434Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f"}