{"uid":"cap_skC6T34m8nu4PL7D0e5d-","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b093e642","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_GDcbF-xWw-kJyOlqS1KTQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability right now on the US entering a recession in 2025 — I want to see the Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin will hit $150k before the end of 2025? Give me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Macro policy sentiment analysis","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the orderbook-implied probabilities and any large-position sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? Show me the Yes/No split and whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, whale/large-trader sentiment signals, and market metadata for the queried event or topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic too vague or ambiguous — may return multiple unrelated markets","Market has expired or resolved — historical data may be returned instead of live odds","Rate limiting or payment failure (HTTP 402) if USDC micropayment not processed","Polymarket API downtime causing stale or unavailable data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market, particularly for crypto, macro-economic, political, or AI-related events. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied (money-backed) probabilities rather than opinion polls or social media sentiment. Best when whale/large-trader positioning is relevant to the decision.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:35:58.123Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}