{"uid":"cap_sjxFLtuuwnEAoP5kx6bdH","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-ebc656cb","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_MayDPAB5lI-pNfBjqvF_4","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed rate cut in 2025, including whale sentiment and volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability research","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by end of 2025, and tell me what the whale sentiment looks like right now."},{"title":"Macro policy market monitoring","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied Yes/No probabilities and trading volume for the US entering a recession this year?"},{"title":"AI regulation prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest odds on the EU AI Act enforcement beginning in 2025 — I want the implied probabilities and any whale accumulation signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for relevant prediction markets matching the event keyword or question.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or data source temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or error","Vague or ambiguous topic string yields low-confidence or mixed market matches","Payment failure via x402 protocol prevents request from completing","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion on upstream Polymarket data feed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events as reflected by actual money on Polymarket. It is especially useful when you want not just raw odds but also whale sentiment and volume context that signals market conviction. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when quantified prediction market probability is the specific signal needed.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:16.132Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}