{"uid":"cap_sXNaf7cj3hq1olOO72JrD","slug":"graph-advocate-kalshi-consensus-trend-6f478c21","name":"Graph Advocate — Kalshi Consensus Trend","description":"Kalshi consensus-probability trajectory. POST {event}. Wraps Kalshi's unique /events/{ticker}/forecast_history (no other PM exposes formatted forecast percentile history). Returns slope-per-hour over 24h and 3d, acceleration signal (regime change indicator), volatility band, days to resolve, and a stable/accelerating-up/accelerating-down interpretation.","url":"https://graphadvocate.com/kalshi/consensus-trend","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"event":{"type":"string","description":"Kalshi event ticker (e.g. KXFOO-23)"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"event_title":"Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?","interpretation":"accelerating-down","days_to_resolve":3287.4,"slope_per_hour_3d":-0.0001,"slope_per_hour_24h":-0.0004,"acceleration_signal":-0.0003,"kalshi_event_ticker":"KXELONMARS-99","volatility_24h_stdev":0.012,"consensus_probability_now":0.18}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"settled","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_G95HF-qv-lLDKFom8Ed97","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns probability trend analysis for a Kalshi prediction market event, including slope, acceleration, and volatility signals over 24h and 3-day windows.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the current consensus trend for the Kalshi event 'KXELONMARS-99' — is the probability accelerating up or down, and what's the 24-hour volatility?","exampleUseCases":null,"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object with the event title, a human-readable interpretation string (e.g. 'accelerating-down'), current consensus probability, slope per hour over 3-day and 24-hour windows, an acceleration signal, days to resolve, 24h volatility as standard deviation, and the Kalshi event ticker.","failureModes":["Unknown or invalid Kalshi event ticker returns an error or empty result","Event not yet indexed returns no data","Rate limit exceeded on free tier (3 queries/day) without payment triggers 402 response","Malformed request body returns 400","Payment not completed or insufficient USDC balance blocks access beyond free tier"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need momentum and trend analysis on a specific Kalshi prediction market event — specifically when you want slope, acceleration, and volatility signals rather than just a raw probability snapshot. Prefer this over generic Kalshi API calls when you want an interpreted, ready-to-use trend signal with human-readable direction labels.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-15T06:43:14.691Z","isFirstParty":false}