{"uid":"cap_sUeaA5gQc8wbSn4m85H73","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-3313c184","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_14RdLmXC4nftvt53XEK3s","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability for a US recession happening in 2025 — also show me the trading volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket probability that Bitcoin hits $100k before end of 2025? Include the orderbook volume and what big traders seem to be betting."},{"title":"Election market sentiment monitor","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale activity signals."},{"title":"Fed policy prediction lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the implied odds and recent volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader behavior.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets — may return the most popular match or require refinement","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable or rate-limited","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response before data is returned","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity, making probability estimates unreliable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. It is ideal for agents that need to incorporate market-implied probabilities into decision-making, trading signals, or research reports, especially when you want whale sentiment alongside raw odds. Prefer this over news sentiment endpoints when you need quantified probability rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:30.755Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}