{"uid":"cap_rmG6JBPwgpHkEy_zO0wnz","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-dcad4733","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Ns3wmSaQ5DzaI7J1OA8mQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities on the Fed cutting interest rates this month — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that Bitcoin crosses $150k by end of 2025? Give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Geopolitical risk market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for a US-China military conflict this year — I want to see the current implied probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy regulation forecast","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of a major US AI regulation bill passing before the end of the year? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related prediction markets.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may include multiple markets requiring further filtering","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — returns upstream error","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment required before data is returned","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook feed is delayed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events as priced by Polymarket prediction markets. It is the right choice when you want market-implied odds (not just news or analyst opinion) including whale sentiment and trading volume. Prefer this over general news APIs when you specifically want quantified probability signals from active prediction market participants.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:44.017Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}