{"uid":"cap_rc7jCU7a_2eHWgZskd45O","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_ePpZo2QVnqwgp88Ns2QhR","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment for 'Fed rate cut in September 2025' — pull the live orderbook odds right now.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year? Give me the implied Yes probability and current trading volume."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the Yes/No probabilities and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction odds","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that a US AI regulation bill passes in 2025? Show me the implied probability and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or multiple results","Payment failure via x402 protocol — request not processed","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity for the queried market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events — specifically pulling live Polymarket orderbook data including implied odds and whale sentiment. Prefer this over news APIs when you want market-consensus probability rather than raw news, and over static data sources when you need live, continuously updated prediction market odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:02.253Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}