{"uid":"cap_rU-PXeKHD01043s2J5tyz","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-79dee218","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_cw9___xwJj17us115J73Z","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities on the Fed cutting interest rates in 2025, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election — show me Yes/No odds, volume, and any whale sentiment?"},{"title":"Crypto price target market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of 2025, including the current orderbook implied probability and trading volume."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of the EU AI Act enforcement causing major fines in 2025 — give me the implied odds and whale activity?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API or orderbook data unavailable due to upstream downtime","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple unrelated markets — results may cover unintended events","Payment failure via x402 protocol prevents the call from completing","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returns an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-implied probabilities and market sentiment from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want orderbook-derived Yes/No odds and whale activity signals rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts. It is particularly useful for agents that need quantified probabilistic views on binary events rather than qualitative opinions.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:13.215Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}