{"uid":"cap_qscn3BjUn4wIXOTWHWuD1","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-93a0fec9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_LEu6k_VDe3UHf0ZNve6el","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening in 2025 — including volume and whether whales are leaning bullish or bearish on it?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin hits $150k before end of 2025? Show me the orderbook sentiment and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"Election odds monitoring","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the Yes/No implied probabilities and whether large traders are positioning heavily on any outcome."},{"title":"Fed rate decision market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the probability the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates at its next meeting — I need the implied odds and whale sentiment to inform my portfolio positioning."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume metrics, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable — may return a 503 or timeout","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — response may return multiple or unexpected market entries","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — requires valid x402 micropayment before data is returned","Rate limit exceeded — too many requests in a short window may result in throttling"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events as priced by actual market participants on Polymarket — especially when you want implied odds, volume context, and large-trader sentiment rather than just news or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news or sentiment endpoints when quantified probability (Yes/No percentage) is the key signal needed for decision-making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:10.121Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}