{"uid":"cap_qrsTXpAfkrXNdXoFpJUlB","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-54e9b56e","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_HSGfekrczBJe0hqV1ZI7d","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin ETF approval, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Live election odds monitoring","prompt":"Pull up the latest Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see the Yes/No split and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the chances of Ethereum reaching $5,000 this year? Give me the orderbook-implied probability and recent volume."},{"title":"Macro recession bet tracker","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the live implied probability of a US recession being declared in 2025 — I want to see whale sentiment and how the Yes/No odds are sitting right now."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and market metadata for events matching the queried topic or keyword.","failureModes":["Topic keyword returns no matching Polymarket markets — empty result set","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable — service timeout","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or top-result data","Payment not processed — x402 payment required error","Rate limiting or abuse detection — request rejected"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets, especially for crypto, macro, AI, or geopolitical events. It is ideal when you want market-implied probabilities rather than analyst forecasts, and when whale sentiment and orderbook depth matter for decision-making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:37:45.288Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}