{"uid":"cap_qfU4VddFTv8xoAyVY81Gl","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-77e63524","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_j5YQqCUF2TiyYtP_0fP6j","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied probability for 'Will the Fed cut interest rates in 2025?' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025? Give me the implied Yes/No probability, volume, and any whale activity."},{"title":"Political election odds monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook and implied probability for who wins the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the current odds and trading volume."},{"title":"AI company milestone forecasting","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the odds that OpenAI releases a new flagship model before July 2025, and tell me the current whale sentiment and Yes/No probabilities."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for markets matching the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — may return stale or error response","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — results may reflect wrong market","Payment failure via x402 protocol — request blocked if USDC micropayment not processed","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — endpoint returns 429 or equivalent error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from active prediction market participants rather than analyst forecasts or model outputs. It is ideal for macro, crypto, political, and AI events that are actively traded on Polymarket and where implied market odds and whale activity are meaningful signals. Prefer this over news search when you want quantified probability rather than narrative, and over traditional financial data APIs when the event is non-standard (e.g. regulatory decisions, geopolitical events, AI milestones).","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:27.100Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}