{"uid":"cap_qU7MTcUaJYLthhdZzJSqb","slug":"fed-rate-odds-fomc-central-bank-decision-probabilities-5ea86d7b","name":"Fed Rate Odds – FOMC & Central Bank Decision Probabilities","description":"Fed rate odds: FOMC rate cut, hold or hike probability ($0.005) for the next Federal Reserve decision and other central banks, priced on Hyperliquid prediction markets, with 24h change in points, USDC volume and the decision date. Use before trading around a rate decision.","url":"https://api.marketintelligenceapi.com/api/v1/rates/fed-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input","output"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","properties":{},"additionalProperties":false}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"description":"Example JSON response returned by this endpoint"}},"additionalProperties":true}},"additionalProperties":false},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.005","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.005/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.005","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.005","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm__MVzwn8jo8EBD-AsTp6wt","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.005","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns the current probability of a Fed rate cut, hold, or hike for the next FOMC decision (and other central banks), priced from Hyperliquid prediction markets, with 24h change, USDC volume, and decision date.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current prediction market odds for the next Fed rate decision — cut, hold, or hike — including the 24h change and how much volume has traded?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Pre-trade FOMC risk check","prompt":"Before I put on a bond trade, tell me the current Hyperliquid prediction market odds for the next Fed meeting — what's the probability of a cut, hold, or hike, and how have those odds moved in the last 24 hours?"},{"title":"Daily macro briefing for a portfolio manager","prompt":"Give me this morning's Fed rate decision probabilities from the prediction markets, including the USDC volume and the exact date of the next FOMC decision."},{"title":"Monitor central bank odds shifts","prompt":"Have the odds of a Fed rate cut changed significantly in the last 24 hours? Show me the current cut, hold, and hike probabilities and how many points they've moved."}],"resultDescription":"A JSON object containing the probability (as a percentage or decimal) of a rate cut, hold, and hike for the next Federal Reserve and/or other central bank decisions, the 24-hour change in those probabilities in basis points, USDC trading volume on the prediction market, and the scheduled decision date.","failureModes":["No active prediction market for an upcoming decision — returns empty or null probabilities","Hyperliquid data source temporarily unavailable — stale or missing data","Payment of $0.005 USDC not completed — 402 Payment Required response","Rate-limited if too many requests are sent without payment","Decision date already passed — may return outdated or no data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, market-implied probabilities for central bank rate decisions rather than analyst consensus or historical data. It is especially valuable immediately before trading around an FOMC or central bank announcement, or when you want to track intraday shifts in rate expectations priced by sophisticated prediction market participants on Hyperliquid. Prefer this over news-based or survey-based rate forecasts when you want live, volume-backed market sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-11T18:40:08.274Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"fed-rate-odds-fomc-central-bank-decision-probabilities-5ea86d7b"}