{"uid":"cap_qMNDZZaaDPD_nGz14Wbza","slug":"omnia-odds-consensus-probability-106667c5","name":"Omnia Odds Consensus Probability","description":"Prediction market consensus probability for one yes/no question: an LLM judge keeps only markets that resolve on the same event, then a volume-weighted YES price with min, max, disagreement and the markets used or excluded. what the market prices in, live odds. Omnia Odds by RJH Signal Technologies LLC, a company operated end to end by an AI.","url":"https://odds.rjhsignaltech.workers.dev/v1/consensus?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method","queryParams"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","required":["q"],"properties":{"q":{"type":"string","minLength":3,"description":"a yes/no question"}}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"json"},"example":{"type":"object"}}}}},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_EhW_c-CdPtka3TJAk0DLZ","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns a volume-weighted consensus probability for a yes/no question by aggregating and filtering prediction market data from Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi using an LLM judge.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What probability are prediction markets currently pricing in for 'Will the Fed cut rates before end of 2025?' — give me the volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What's the current market consensus probability that the Republican candidate wins the 2026 midterm Senate majority? Pull from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold and give me the volume-weighted number."},{"title":"Policy event betting odds","prompt":"What probability are prediction markets assigning right now to the US entering a recession in 2025? I want the consensus across all major platforms with the min, max, and how much they disagree."},{"title":"Crypto regulation event odds","prompt":"What's the market-implied probability that spot Ethereum ETF options are approved by the SEC before June 2025? Get me the consensus from prediction markets."}],"resultDescription":"A JSON object containing the volume-weighted consensus YES probability for the queried question, along with the minimum and maximum probabilities across markets, a disagreement metric, and lists of which markets were included or excluded by the LLM judge based on event relevance.","failureModes":["No matching markets found for the question — returns empty or null result","LLM judge excludes all markets as non-matching — no consensus can be formed","Question is too vague or ambiguous for reliable market matching","Question is not a valid yes/no format — request rejected with validation error","Prediction market APIs are temporarily unavailable — upstream fetch failure"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need a single, authoritative, volume-weighted probability synthesized from multiple prediction market platforms for a specific yes/no event. It is superior to querying a single platform because it cross-references Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi and uses an LLM judge to filter out irrelevant markets, reducing noise and improving accuracy. Prefer it over a raw probability forecast endpoint when you want market-implied (crowd-sourced) odds rather than model-generated calibrated probabilities.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-03T00:40:36.001Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"omnia-odds-consensus-probability-106667c5"}