{"uid":"cap_qFYAVxqpZKcM-ig1zzQEg","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8ad2426a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_giRV_V2QEJQFZQrOMCE32","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI event prediction markets.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — include trading volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket implied probabilities for who wins the 2026 US midterms — I want to see the Yes/No odds and how much volume is behind them."},{"title":"Crypto event market odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025? Show me the orderbook sentiment and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active markets around AI regulation or an AI safety bill passing in the US this year — what's the implied probability and trading volume?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is experiencing downtime","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — may return multiple or incorrect market results","Payment failure via x402 if insufficient USDC balance — returns 402 status","Rate limiting if the same topic is queried too frequently in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events. Prefer this over static news APIs or sentiment tools when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual financial stakes and volume. Ideal for agents that need to factor crowd wisdom and whale positioning into decision-making rather than relying on opinion polls or news headlines.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:34:45.621Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}