{"uid":"cap_qArHul7l5vrooOKh89FwD","slug":"stationfx-10-year-breakeven-inflation-rate-70e51ce8","name":"StationFX 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate","description":"Market-implied inflation expectation over the next 10 years, derived from the spread between nominal Treasury and TIPS yields. Primary input for real rate calculations, inflation regime detection, and Fed policy models. Rises when markets expect higher future inflation. Daily frequency, 20+ year history with full derived metrics.","url":"https://stationfx.com/economic-data/inflation/10-year-breakeven-inflation-rate?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http","description":"Always \"http\" for HTTP endpoints"},"method":{"enum":["GET","HEAD","DELETE"],"type":"string","description":"HTTP method. 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daily market-implied 10-year inflation expectations derived from the spread between nominal Treasury and TIPS yields, with derived metrics including z-scores, trend flags, and rolling averages.","exampleAgentPrompt":"Pull the 10-year breakeven inflation rate from StationFX for the past 6 months in JSON format, including z-scores and trend flags, so I can see whether inflation expectations are historically elevated right now.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Inflation regime detection for macro model","prompt":"Get me the 10-year breakeven inflation rate data from StationFX for the last 2 years, including the above-trend flag and 5-year z-score — I want to know what inflation regime the market is pricing in right now."},{"title":"Fed policy meeting preparation","prompt":"What does the breakeven inflation rate look like heading into this week's FOMC meeting? Pull the last 3 months of daily data from StationFX with year-over-year change and percentile rank so I can see how market inflation expectations have shifted."},{"title":"Real rate calculation for portfolio analysis","prompt":"I need the 10-year breakeven inflation rate for 2023-01-01 through 2023-12-31 from StationFX in JSON format, with the rolling 12-month average included, to back out real rates for my fixed income portfolio model."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON array of daily observations, each containing the raw breakeven rate value (in percent), month-over-month and year-over-year changes (absolute and percentage), trailing z-scores over 12-month and 5-year windows, a percentile rank over 5 years, a binary above-trend flag, and rolling 3-month and 12-month averages. History spans 20+ years.","failureModes":["Invalid date format returns a 400 error","date_from after date_to returns empty data or an error","Requesting fields that don't exist returns an error or omits those fields","Dates beyond the available 20+ year history return empty arrays","Network or payment failure (x402) returns a 402 Payment Required before data is delivered"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need market-implied inflation expectations (not realized CPI) derived from Treasury-TIPS spreads, with precomputed derived metrics like z-scores, trend flags, and rolling averages. Prefer it over raw FRED data when you need analysis-ready inflation data without building your own derived metrics. Best suited for real rate models, inflation regime detection, and Fed policy analysis.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-02T00:45:17.911Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"stationfx-10-year-breakeven-inflation-rate-70e51ce8"}