{"uid":"cap_pzW93oTkLipwmHQnUiJ7D","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-64a9acc9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_bW5etHOQtJxjM6FhFBkl5","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Fed rate cut in September 2025' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election odds research for a newsletter","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket implied probabilities for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want the Yes/No odds, trading volume, and any notable whale positions."},{"title":"Crypto event market monitoring","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket orderbook odds and implied probability that Bitcoin will hit $150,000 before the end of 2025? Include volume data."},{"title":"Macro recession risk assessment","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a US recession in 2025 — give me the Yes/No odds, volume, and whale sentiment so I can include it in my weekly macro report."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from orderbook prices, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried event or topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return incorrect or mixed data","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 payment header is not provided","Rate limiting or timeout if the Polymarket orderbook feed is slow"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, political, crypto, or AI events as reflected by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want a market-based implied probability with volume and large-trader signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:42.618Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}