{"uid":"cap_pwONIj6dj_muYnWlOakUa","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7b8020e3","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_hZqhZiEvbPItbkFETt-Mb","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession in 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability for trading decisions","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Fed rate cut before June 2025, and what's the whale sentiment and volume on that market?"},{"title":"Crypto milestone prediction market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Bitcoin hitting $150k this year — give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Political event prediction market research","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied probabilities for a government shutdown in the next 90 days, including orderbook sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, political, or AI prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or ambiguous returns no matching market","Polymarket API upstream outage results in stale or empty response","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC micropayment not fulfilled","No active market exists for the queried topic","Rate limiting if called too frequently without valid payment"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets, particularly for macro economic events, crypto price milestones, political outcomes, or AI-related events. Prefer this over general news search when you want quantified implied probabilities and market-driven sentiment rather than narrative coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:25.134Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}