{"uid":"cap_prv-fXHI-44sBtaQX_ThP","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-10ba79c6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_K4LVLYeFiv4gPgzHuC-56","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the next FOMC rate cut decision — including trading volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the Yes/No implied odds and any whale sentiment you can see."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for Ethereum spot ETF approval — I want to see the current implied probability, volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI regulation event probability","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around US AI regulation or AI executive orders — what are the current odds and trading volumes?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24-hour trading volume, and whale accumulation or sentiment signals derived from large-order orderflow.","failureModes":["No active Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Polymarket API or data feed unavailable — upstream timeout or 503","Payment not processed — 402 response if x402 micropayment fails","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match data","Rate limiting or quota exceeded on the upstream Polymarket data source"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. It is preferable over news sentiment or LLM opinion when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real capital, and when you need whale orderflow signals alongside raw Yes/No odds. Best suited for agents making decisions that depend on consensus probability of a future event.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:35:16.722Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}