{"uid":"cap_pgW4Wik--tJ8De1-fY3ZR","slug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8bbae5fd","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_j3e0aq9ESP1hYL_6xbztE","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin ETF approval, including whale sentiment and recent volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Ethereum gets an ETF approval this year — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro recession sentiment monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a US recession in 2024 and tell me what the orderbook volume looks like."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of major AI regulation passing in the US? Give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (crowd-sourced probability estimates), current market volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position holder behavior for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or failed data fetch","Overly broad or ambiguous topic string returning unrelated markets","Payment not processed (x402) resulting in 402 response and no data returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded returning an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket specifically — particularly when you want implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook depth, volume context, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over generic news or price feeds when you want market-consensus probability, not just price or sentiment signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:47:47.713Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db725fb9"}