{"uid":"cap_pfu8HRtkJqsrv9FOWVhgm","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d1c917f5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_QkY97HCvP16BkasZGFME2","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for Bitcoin reaching $150k before end of 2025 — give me the Yes/No implied probabilities, volume, and what the whales are doing?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket odds on whether Ethereum spot ETF gets approved this quarter — I want the implied Yes probability and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"Macro recession sentiment tracker","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a US recession in 2025? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and any whale activity you can see."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on AI regulation or an AI safety bill passing in the US — what are the current odds and orderbook sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity in the market.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or ambiguous — no matching Polymarket market found","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure","Market exists but is illiquid — low volume results in unreliable implied probabilities","Payment failure via x402 — $0.01 USDC payment not processed","Topic returns multiple markets — ambiguous response covering several related events"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific future events — especially macro, crypto, or AI-related outcomes — and want market-derived implied odds rather than model predictions or news sentiment. Prefer this over news APIs when you want a quantitative probability, and over general search when you want a single structured market signal with volume and whale data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:02.719Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}